'Low' chance tropical wave turns into 1st hurricane of Atlantic season (UPDATED)

There is a 20 percent, or "low," chance that a large area of "disorganized showers and thunderstorms" over the eastern Caribbean sea could turn into the first tropical storm or hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The "wave" could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty wind over parts of northern Venezuela, the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic and Haiti over the next day or so.

"Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the next couple of days," the Hurricane Center said in a statement.

If the system develops into a tropical storm or hurricane, it will be named "Alex."

UPDATED, 3:15 p.m. EDT -- As of 2 p.m., the Hurricane Center says there is a 30 percent chance the system will develop into something worth worrying about.

"This system is showing some signs of organization and environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development during the next couple of days," an update states.