Alex could flood deep South Texas

AccuWeather.com just released a 6 p.m. update, and it puts Alex's current track toward deep South Texas, with flooding there and at least 4 to 8 inches of rain expected Tuesday night through Friday. Some local areas are predicted to receive as much as 10 inches of rain. Hurricane-force winds would also affect Brownsville.


The soil apparently is already abnormally wet in the Rio Grande Valley, according to AccuWeather.com Expert Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski.
"This has the potential to bring very serious flooding to South Texas during Wednesday and Thursday," Kottlowski said.

Computer models are bringing Alex in just south of the Rio Grande. If Alex tracks north of the Rio Grande Valley, making landfall closer to or north of Matagorda Bay, the worst of the storm would target the middle or upper Texas coast rather than deep South Texas.
Alex is predicted to make landfall between late Wednesday night and Thursday morning and should become a hurricane on Tuesday.