Here are the Hurricane Center's exact words, as of 2 p.m. EDT (The capitalization is theirs, too.)
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM YUCATAN ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ARE PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
You have been advised.
Meanwhile, Hurricane Center forecasters are watching another system off the northern coast of South America.
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